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Validation:

 

1.On-going Validation

2.A Real-world Example of a Bathtub Curve

3.The Tool

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My Decisions

A Real-World Bathtub Curve

MTBF is a reliability metric, especially for products or systems exhibiting failures in a shape of a bathtub curve. Information on MTBFs supports decision making for engineering development and service operations in management and planning.

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A bathtub curve generally represents three phases of product failures, including an early phase, a normal service life phase, and a wear-out phase. For a real product, we may or may not observe all three phases. For an MTBF estimation purpose, we expect a constant failure rate during a product's service period.

1. Field return data fit in a bathtub curve

This is an example of how a set of real field return data look like after being processed and presented in a failure rate plot. It can be observed that the data fit a bathtub curve showing an early and then a constant failure rate phase of the product in this example.

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2. The original data

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fig2-2.jpg

​If you need to know whether your products, systems or assets in operation also exhibit a bathtub failure behavior, or if you simply need MTBF info to be extracted from field data for some reason, we can help, We provide a free service for a preliminary analysis. You can click here to contact us.

​A Real-World Bathtub Curve:

 

1.Field return data fit in a bathtub curve

2.The original data

3.Identified early failures

4.MTBF

5.Reliability growth 

​A Nevada chart and a Pareto histogram plot are used to present the original field return data of this example.

 

Some observations of the data include:
1-The data set represents a total of 245 units and 284 failure reports returned from field;
2-Data were collected across a time span from Mar.2014 to Jun.2015;
3-There appeared an early failure mode;
4-A major percentage of either no failure found (NFF) or failures yet to be determined (TBD) or isolated is included in the data set.

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